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Hopeful of value of future of industry of ammoniac black silk ribbon rises

Published on:2013/9/13 13:17:01

Keyword:Ammoniac black silk ribbon, the price, dress, fabrics, statistic, spin industry, chemical fibber, textile, fiber, the market
Introduction:As people consumption level promotion and light person of 80 the year after next become dress to consume main force gradually, recreational the progre...

As people consumption level promotion and light person of 80 the year after next become dress to consume main force gradually, recreational the progress that makes clothing fabrics develops tendency. Ammoniac black silk ribbon depends on good flexibility, it is to seek the high-powered fabrics place that changes feeling and advantage must stretch fiber. So, in last few years demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon is added fast maintain industry of prep above garment to add fast.
  
Stimulation of price fall after a rise replaces demand. As ammoniac black silk ribbon rapid and homebred change, the price holds fall after a rise. 6 years price of 40D ammonia black silk ribbon is as high as 100 thousand yuan for a time / ton, fell 2012 reach 40 thousand yuan / ton. The price drops bring about ammoniac black silk ribbon by " of " noble fiber, transform to " of " civilian fiber gradually. Instantly, 50% above textile follows the whole world dress contains part of ammoniac black silk ribbon, home exports the of about 60% breed in textile and its dress to contain part of ammoniac black silk ribbon, "Do not become cloth " to will make the development way that high-grade textile follows dress in in the future without ammonia. In addition, ammoniac black silk ribbon consumes a structure also will by underwear dress of sex of Xiang Nan of dress of outward garment, woman is expanded, and gradually to industry (safety belt of car, plane) , medical treatment (bandage, cut is stuck, kneecap) wait for a domain to permeate.
 
Domestic company industry upgrades, raise requirement of ammoniac black silk ribbon
  
Because price of domestic and international cotton is hanged, labor cost rises and the angle reason such as exchange rate, competition ability of industry of our country spin compares competition ability to be weakened gradually with southeast Asia. Cost rises to force industry of domestic spin industry upgrades, avoid to follow southeast Asia each country to compete directly in the domain such as the cotton goods of low end, the production of fabrics of the high end in turn and expanding, enlarge the high-powered fibrous demand such as ammoniac black silk ribbon consequently.
  
   Spin industry is lukewarm with anabiosis, start working rate rises drive demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon
  
Exit turns warm, spin industry is lukewarm with anabiosis. Before 2013 7 months, suffer American economy to anabiosis drive, our country textile exports 60.73 billion dollar, grow 11.5% compared to the same period, dress exports 94.14 billion dollar, grow 13.5% compared to the same period. Exit get warm again after a cold spell drives domestic spin industry lukewarm with anabiosis, before 2013 7 months, total of profit of industry of garment of our country spin 44.42 billion yuan, grow 12.3% compared to the same period, present the state that bottom anabiosises.
  
Anabiosis downstream drive get warm again after a cold spell of demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon. According to statistic of website of economy of our country chemical fibber, although instantly still is in off-season, but ammoniac black silk ribbon is downstream warp knitting, lacy,the instantly of rate of domain start working such as gauze following a package is respectively 80% , 70% with 63% , pick up significantly compared to the same period. Inventory only 15 days, be in the history inferior level. Index of boom of market of spin of bridge stalking or branch shows likewise, the current year comes bearing of view of market of fabrics of ammoniac black silk ribbon picks up quickly.
  
We think demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon appeared rapid growth 2013 advocate if in long-term fabrics spending upgrades to anabiosis with industry of short-term spin garment the influence of double element overlay. Look into in the future, anabiosis in exit below the development tendercy that upgrades with domestic fabrics consumption, demand of trade of Chinese ammonia black silk ribbon still hopeful lasts 10% above grow.
  
   Produce can grow hasten delay, industry supply is tight
  
1. Produce reason of can outspread regression
  
2010 ~ were produced 2012 can outspread more, industry boom be issued to lower levels. Statistic of the fibre web in occupying, industry of ammoniac black silk ribbon produced 2010 ~ 2012 can add fast amount to respectively 17.9% , 13.8% , 14.6% . Up to 2012, domestic ammonia black silk ribbon is produced can amount to five hundred and twenty-one thousand five hundred tons, and apparent demand is 280 thousand tons only, name is produced can utilization rate is only 61% . The industry is produced can superfluous, price of ammoniac black silk ribbon continues to be down, company profit gradually be issued to lower levels.
  
2013 ~ produced can outspread decelerate 2014, industry development returns to reason. Process of trade of ammoniac black silk ribbon after fast dilate, march basically phase of rest and reorganization. The industry is only 2013 Xiamen force grand 5000 tons / year, chemical fibber of new rural area 4000 tons / year wait not to exceed 10 thousand tons / produce per year can put in, only 2014 peaceful follows new material 3500 tons / year comfortable ammonia black silk ribbon, Fujian grows Le Hengshen 10 thousand tons / year, Zhejiang La Kongqiao 18 thousand tons / produce per year can put in, produce can add fast it is respectively 1.7% , 3.4% , go quite of two digit add fast, remarkable hasten delay.
  
Unit investment is larger, build period longer, existing produce can greet amortize period. By black silk ribbon of China peak ammonia " produce per year 60 thousand tons of difference to change project of ammoniac black silk ribbon to invest agreement " , investment is built produce per year 60 thousand tons / year project of ammoniac black silk ribbon, total investment makes an appointment with 2 billion yuan, namely unit ton produce can invest 300 million yuan or so; And end was in Xiao Xing 2012 10 thousand tons of Brazilian put into production / year ammoniac black silk ribbon is produced can, investment amounts to 100 million dollar or 600 million yuan of above. And redound is had periodic, and manufacturing unit is special model stronger, change the line of production hard, restricted an industry not to have foreword dilate. Other, build plant of a production, from the project program, design arrives put into production, need 1.5 years at least, although ability revises a project,also need above 1 year. The enlarge that instantly plans produces an item, will arrive square 2015 can put into production. 2013 ~ demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon will still continue to grow 2014, the amortize time that this will give an industry a 1 ~ 2 years.
  
2. Start working full load, dealer inventory is inferior
  
Silk of fine day of ammoniac black silk ribbon changes development trend is remarkable. Of consumption upgrade, dress character also forward way of the class on high-end air develops, ammoniac black silk ribbon applies limits to be increased gradually, and breed of fine day silk is occupied compare rise gradually, the structure continues to optimize. According to statistic of website of our country chemical fibber, 20D was occupied only in breed of ammoniac black silk ribbon 2005 9.6% , 4 years are lain between when, its are occupied than been achieve 28.5% , and 40D is occupied than also by 58.2% drop for 41.7% . And similar device, produce 40D quite, manufacturing 20D, cross section is accumulated reduce an in part, crop reduced 1/2 actually.
  
Produce actually can utilization rate amounts to full load. In structure of product of black silk ribbon of China peak ammonia, 40D is occupied than 50% , 30D follows 20D occupy than 40% , company convert 40D is produced can be 57 thousand tons, produce actually can control for 50 thousand tons, convert coefficient 0.88 the left and right sides. Because domestic 40D product is occupied,compare 40% the left and right sides, under Hua Feng shipment of ammoniac black silk ribbon is occupied than, coefficient of predicting industry convert 0.88 under Hua Feng, press 0.85 computation suppose, end was produced actually 2012 can control for 450 thousand tons. Crop held annual output first half of the year 2012 about 47.8% , basis 2013 first half of the year crop 182 thousand tons, beforehand appraise produced per year a quantity to be 381 thousand tons about completely 2013, produce actually can utilization rate is amounted to 85% . Considering the enterprise the overhaul, equipment produces can stretch space, and the part is long-term the miscarriage of stop production can, real go into operation already achieved full load. The situation that from us survey peaceful follows the report such as black silk ribbon of ammonia of new material, China peak also is such.
  
Mainstream manufacturer is located in with dealer inventory low. Statistic of the fibre web in occupying, below the market level with off-season instantly, manufacturer of industry of ammoniac black silk ribbon follows agency stock general on the low side, supply slants close. Put in 15 ~ 20 days when the library of course of study of be issued to lower levels, attribute inferior level, average first half of the year stock is compared the corresponding period reduced 10 days or so 2012. We visit peaceful to be informed with agency of new Cai Mou, because supply slants,tighten, its purchase order to be satisfied hard, inventory is in inferior level. As 9 ~ busy season of demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon will come November, supply will keep nervous.
  
3. Off-season raise price, busy season add goes up but period
  
Busy season of ammoniac black silk ribbon scene auspicious. Normally, busy season of demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon was March ~ May, September ~ in November, other season is off-season. First half of the year is season of consumption of Chun Xia outfit commonly, big to demand of fine day silk; Second half of the year is season of demand of Qiu Dong outfit commonly, increasing to consumption of thick dawn silk. Statistic of association of industry of our country chemical fibber, bear of start working of loom of river short for Zhejiang Province exceeded on one year of the corresponding period first half of the year 2013, terminal demand is lukewarm with anabiosis. Demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon to good, supply insecurity, company stock on the low side, price of ammoniac black silk ribbon rises all the way. Ammoniac black silk ribbon had ~ twice respectively in April in March outstanding mix goes up, the industry is in busy season in, 40D price by every tons 44000 yuan / ton rise May 47000 yuan of the first ten days of a month / ton, go up 3000 yuan / ton. The proposal of conference of industry of ammoniac black silk ribbon that held on June 17 promotes 2000 ~ 40D price 3000 yuan / ton, other breed promotes 1000 ~ 2000 yuan / ton. On July 30 industry of ammoniac black silk ribbon again to sit a meeting, in view of on the low side of inventory of industry of ammoniac black silk ribbon, resolution moves 2000 yuan on the price of ammoniac black silk ribbon to norms of 30D, 40D / ton, price of mainstream of norms of instantly home 40D is 52000 ~ 550 million yuan / or so tons. Instantly still handles weaving estate produce and sale off-season, demand of ammoniac black silk ribbon is off-season not weak, predict to will consume busy season in November to 9 ~ , hopeful of price of ammoniac black silk ribbon is farther go up tone. According to survey understanding, agency predicts 60000 yuan to hopeful of 40D norms price rises / ton.

Keyword:Ammoniac black silk ribbon, the price, dress, fabrics, statistic, spin industry, chemical fibber, textile, fiber, the market

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